Distributed Economies

In a previous post I wrote about Network Economics, which is all about networking users together. The next dimension of Web 2.0 to understand is Distributed Economies.

The new laws of Web 2.0 economics say that if you can massively distribute microchunked things, you should see increasing levels of returns. It’s all about networking peers together. A good Web 2.0 platform will mediate the connections between peers, and add value to it (hopefully without adding friction too).

The new LinkedIn Answers is a good example of this. All the questions and answers are like this microchunked knowledge base, and because you can only see questions on your home page from people 1 or 2 degrees away they are mediating this connection between LinkedIn users. LinkedIn Answers is a great example of Distributed Economies.

HomeAway, which I wrote about here is also a good example of this. They’ve microchunked the vacation house and timeframe, and they’re mediating connections between owners of vacation homes and the people who want to rent them. They’re adding value by providing maps, reviews, and other mechanisms to make the process of finding a vacation house better. They have (if I remember correctly) 160,000 listings which puts them on the road to having great network effects too.

Later I’ll write about viral economics and then we can tie it all together with some examples. Umair Haque at Bubble Generation is a pioneer thinker in this field, if you’d like to read or learn more.

HomeAway Growing Rapidly

Homeaway Back in 2002 Brian Sharples announced that he was raising money for an investment group that was buying high-end vacation properties. He must have learned a lot about that market, which led him to start HomeAway. The company has raised over $200M in venture capital, which has to be some sort of Austin record. They’ve used that money to essentially do a rollup in the vacation rental home market. I haven’t done any significant market research to figure out what other similar competitors might have bigger marketshare, but this is a really big market.

The statistics say that second home ownership is at al all-time high and growing rapidly. HomeAway will help you make money on that second home by connecting owners and renters. Of course they charge a listing fee for each property, which even at $100 is small compared to the revenue it could bring an owner.

My sources tell me these guys are on fire. Could it be the next Austin IPO? Could we see some big player like eBay buy these guys for half a billion dollars? It would certainly be a rarity to see that kind of a deal in Austin, but it would certainly be a welcome sign of possible things to come.

Storspeed to Ramp With $13M

StorspeedSomeone at the Austin Business Journal is doing their homework and scouring filings at the Texas State Securities Board. That seems to be how they uncovered the $13M funding of StorSpeed. I’m guessing that they really did uncover some sort of scoop here, as the website just has the logo on it and nothing else (check the picture). A quick search in the "whois" database shows the domain name registration as private, and they didn’t bother do snag the .net and .org top level domains (which is really really odd…. I mean for $9 it’s kinda worth it).

Most notable is not who is investing in this deal, but who is not investing in this deal. Austin Ventures is notably absent. Early stage investors and Sand Hill Road residents El Dorado Ventures is an investor (also an investor in Austin-based Triactive, Austin-based Convio, and Jigsaw which AV invested in). Hunt Ventures is also an investor. They have an Austin office, and as far as I can tell this is their first investment in an Austin-based company. Vesbridge Partners is also an out-of-town investor that co-led the Series A round. Palomar Ventures, with three offices in California, rounds out the investor list. Palomar appears to have provided funding to Austin-based Lombardi Software.

StorSpeed is designing a disruptive technology at the intersection of storage and networking that will dramatically increase network storage performance. They seem to have some great industry veterans on the founding management team.

HB 2714

The Austin Business Journal writes today about House Bill 2714 which takes effect this fall. Computers and monitors sold in Texas must have free recycling provided by their manufacturers, and the equipment must have the company brand name on it.

No doubt our planet (including the ocean) is getting full of garbage. I will personally gladly pay a few more dollars for a PC or monitor knowing that somebody is stripping out the lead and mercury. So who will benefit from this trend?

Round2 Technologies based in Round Rock.

TechTurn, headquartered in Austin. Founder and CEO Jeff Zeigler recently won an Entrepreneur of the Year award, which I wrote about here. The company also has locations in Virginia, Reno, and Chicago.

I’m not sure how many other states are following suit, or maybe have had such programs for years already. Texas is not necessarily known for being environmentally progressive. But lets hope all 50 states eventually have similar regulations, or that the major PC and monitor manufacturers voluntarily provide this service anyway.

Dell has actually been a leader in this whole recycling area. You can find more details about their program here.

Fluid Innovation Group

Fluid_logoInc. Magazine wrote last month that 85% of a company’s value resides in intangible assets like brand, databases, employee expertise, and software code. But these assets are hard to categorize, inventory, manage, or license for profit. That’s where Fluid steps in. They help large companies manage and commercialize their software assets.

For most companies this would be a kind of one-off exercise that would be difficult to execute, and in the end the costs associated with it would probably exceed any license revenue generated. So Fluid has set out to create processes, tools, and technologies that will help companies be successful doing this. A quick look at their client list reveals clients like Hughes, DuPont, Microsoft, and Lockheed Martin.

In talking with some of the management team over there they appear very enthusiastic about prospects for the company. They’ve been very quiet in the news department, but perhaps soon they will announce some new customer wins, or some other good news.

Network Effects

As I start to look past the news, and try to perform some analysis on the web strategies of some of the companies that I tend to be interested in (and write about), it’s important to understand some of the basics of strategy in a Web 2.0 world.

People sometimes use the term "network effects" when they mean "lost of eyeballs" but network effects is more of an economic principle. The Wikipedia credits ethernet founder Robert Metcalfe with it’s origins, but economist Nicholas Economides at NYU has a large body of work in this area.

The classic example is the telephone. If a telephone salesman came to your house to sell you a telephone, you would ask who else has a telephone. If nobody else owns a telephone, there is no value to you. If everybody you know owns a telephone, then a telephone is very useful to you.

A network effect creates value for a website based upon how many other people use the website. As the Wikipedia achieves critical mass and vast adoption, there is a higher probability that whatever I’m searching for has an entry, and therefore Wikipedia has more value to me. As eBay hits 100 million listings, there is a larger chance that the rare coin I’m looking for will be listed. eBay is benefitting from network effects.

It really makes you think about the first person to buy an Ethernet card, post a profile on MySpace, start an eBay auction, or create a Wikipedia entry. It takes guts to be an early adopter!

FameCast Raises $4.5M

FameCast is like American Idol online. Only with more categories than just pop singers. There is spoken word, short film, comedy, and other "stages."

The company raised $4.5M in venture funds from (big stretch here) Austin Ventures. I’m not sure if this is a big vote for the FameCast business model, or for CEO Kent Savage. I don’t know Kent personally, but people that I have spoken with who know him all speak very highly of him.

When bands like PushMonkey (are they still around?) win with 3,500 votes you know that this website has not even begun to take off yet. I think this website is like a lottery ticket that is either going to be a huge success, or it just won’t hit big. Hit it big and Google/YouTube wants to buy you. Although the company claims a million unique visitors so far, I’m sure they would rather see a million a day.

At the heart of it I love the peer production strategy, and the edge competences. I intend to do a little more analysis in a later post around the viral economies and the distributed economies.

Dell Sells Through Wal-Mart

We’ve had some time to absorb this revelation, and I’ve been pondering the strategic implications of this move. In the interest of full disclosure, Dell is a client of mine but I have no inside information on sales strategy or anything remotely to do with retail sales.

Wal-Mart is famous for having low cost suppliers. Reports in the trade press say that the Wal-Mart buyer for socks, for instance, will call in all the sock vendors to sit around a table and bid on Wal-Mart’s business. Reportedly it’s trecherous, and there is no vendor loyalty whatsoever. The focus is on a certain minimal level of quality, but mostly on price. And as consumers we enjoy those lower prices when we shop.

Given this I can’t imagine that Wal-Mart just chose Dell out of the blue. You know there was some big meeting where Dell, HP/Compaq, Lenovo, and every other major brand dropped their prices as low as possible to become the sole PC vendor to be sold at Wal-Mart. So this probably isn’t high-margin business for Dell.

Popular wisdom claims that by the 2nd tech support phone call to Dell, all the margins they made on your computer sale are now offset by the costs of providing tech support to you. So at even thinner margins, it might even be the 1st tech support call puts Dell in the red on that sale.

Now let me make a broad sweeping generalization that will probably generate hate mail. Wal-Mart stores are generally located in smaller towns across the country where the average wage is lower, and the average level of education is lower than in highly urban areas and major cities.

Lower marings + more tech support = bad strategic move

The only value I can see here is a marketshare play. If Dell really wants to report higher market share in PC sales than HP, then this is the way to go. However there are going to be a lot of angry people trying to get tech support (replacement mouse, how do I install more memory, etc) from Wal-Mart employees whose only response can be "sorry, call Dell tech support."

I’m going to go out on a forecasting limb to say that in 18-24 months Dell unwinds this deal.

2007 Entrepreneur of the Year

This is one of the top events in Austin. Several people tell me that this is the one event each year that they make sure they attend. If you are at all interested in innovation, success, and entrepreneurship then this event is worth attending. I was 50% on my predictions, which I guess is pretty good considering that I was purely guessing, or in some cases wishing.

I was correct in predicting Bill Bayless from American Campus Communities, and Graham Weston, et al. from Rackspace. Congratulations to both of them, and I think they both have a great chance at winning at the national level.

Other winners included Bill Imhoff from Intertech Flooring, Jeff Zeigler from TechTurn, and Steven Jackobs from Capital IDEA. Congratulations to them as well. It was definitely inspiring to hear their stories, and the impact that they are having on their business and the community.

Of couse the after party at PF Chang’s was the place to be. I sometimes wonder if people skip the event and go straight to the after party. One great idea that they started last year (if you’re looking for marketing ideas) was to hand out branded flip-flops in the women’s bathroom. Women will want to stay longer, and enjoy the dance floor if they’re not having to brave several hours of standing in high heels. Very innovative. You can read more coverage over at Some Assembly Required.